RANsquawk

Blog

Key Events: -

 

Monday: UK-EU Brexit Talks Commence

 

Tuesday:

 

Wednesday: UK GDP (Q2, F)

 

Thursday: RBNZ MonPol Decision, US GDP (Q2, F)

 

Friday: US PCE Price Data (Aug), Eurozone Inflation (Sep, P), Canadian GDP (Jul)

 

Politics:...

Categories:
On 24th September German voters will take to the polls to elect representatives to the 19th Bundestag. Polling stations will close at 1700BST, after which the first exit polls will be published. Once members have been elected, a Chancellor will then be appointed by an absolute majority; leading the way to form an actual government.

VOTING SYSTEM

In order to get as representative system as possible, Germany uses a relatively complicated...
Categories:
DAILY EUROPEAN OPENING NEWS: Asian equities faced selling pressure overnight amid tspaneats of further hydrogen bomb tests from North Korea

Asian equities faced selling pressure overnight amid tspaneats of further hydrogen bomb tests from North Korea

The risk-off sentiment spurred flows into JPY. Focus for GBP remains on today’s speech by UK PM May

Looking ahead, highlights include Eurozone services and manufacturing PMIs, Canadian retail sales & CPI, UK PM May and a slew of central bank...
Categories:
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has capped its joint output at 32.5mln bpd since 1st January 2017, representing a 1.2mln bpd reduction from the October 2016 (chosen benchmark) levels (except for Angola for which September 2016 is used). Some non-OPEC producers also joined the pact, the most notable being Russia, bringing the total pledged production cut up to 1.8mln bpd. The current OPEC/non-OPEC production deal is set to expire in March 2018.

The Joint Monitoring...
Categories:
FOMC announced plan to begin balance sheet normalization as anticipated, and suggested increased prospects of a 3rd rate hike for 2017

The USD strengthened and yields rose after the decision as markets have to reprice expectations of hikes

Looking ahead, highlights include weekly jobs data, Philly Fed, ECB’s Praet and Draghi

FED DECISION

The FOMC confirmed plans to begin sspaninking the balance sheet in October, following the schedule set out in July.

The fed kept the FFR...
Categories:
Asian equities and FX traded with little in the way of firm direction overnight as markets await today’s FOMC policy announcement

UK PM May intends to make a EUR 20bln Brexit payment offer to the EU, according to the FT

Looking ahead, highlights include UK retail sales, DoEs and the FOMC announcement & press conference

ASIA

Asia stock markets saw an indecisive trading day amid a cautious tone ahead of today’s FOMC announcement. The looming risk event initially sapped the momentum from...
Categories:
Asian equity markets traded with a cautious tone as the FOMC draws closer and after the region failed to maintain the early impetus from US

FX trade was relatively tentative overnight. GBP/USD nursed yesterday’s Carney-inspired losses while CAD was hampered by comments from BoC’s Lane

Looking ahead, highlights include German ZEW, NZ Dairy Auction and US APIs

ASIA

Asia equity markets traded with a cautious tone as the FOMC draws closer and after the region failed to maintain the early...
Categories:
Asian equities traded higher (Japan away from market) following a strong close in the US on Friday

In FX, USD/JPY and JPY-crosses extended on last week’s upside as the positive risk sentiment spurred further outflows from the safe-haven JPY

Looking ahead, highlights include Eurozone CPI, ECB’s Lautenschlaeger, BoE’s Carney and BoC’s Lane

ASIA

Asia equity markets began the week on the front foot after last Friday’s gains in US, where all majors eked fresh record levels and the...
Categories:

WEEK IN FOCUS: Fed & BoJ Set To Convene, With Eyes On German & NZ Elections

 

Key Events: -

 

Monday:

 

Tuesday: RBA Meeting Minutes

 

Wednesday: FOMC Monetary Policy Decision, UK Retail Sales (Aug)

 

Thursday: BoJ MonPol Decision, New Zealand GDP (Q2), Norges Bank MonPol Decision   ...

Categories:
Asia equity markets traded mostly negative after North Korea launched a missile that flew tspanough Japanese airspace

This prompted Japan to issue an emergency warning for its residents and South Korea conducted its own missile test as a show of readiness

Looking ahead, highlight include the Russian rate decision, US retail sales, industrial output, Uni. of Michigan, ECB’s Mersch, BoE’s Vlieghe and ECB’s Lautenschlager

ASIA

Asia equity markets traded mostly negative after North Korea...
Categories:
- MPC voted 7-2 in favour of keeping rates unchanged at 0.25%, as widely expected

- MPC voted 9-0 in favour of maintaining the stock of corporate and government bond purchases.

- Rhetoric was on the hawkish side, which was ultimately the driver of markets in the wake of the decision.

- A Reuters weighted basket of interest rate swaps and futures is now fully pricing a hike for March of 2018 (August 2018 was fully...
Categories:
The Swiss National Bank left its 3-month Libor target band unchanged at -1.25% to -0.25%, with the sight deposit rate left at -0.75%, in line with the universal consensus.

The Full SNB statement is available here.

All eyes were on the SNB’s rhetoric surrounding the CHF. The central bank tweaked its comments on the domestic currency stating that “recent development is reducing, to some...
Categories:
Asian equities traded with little firm direction as markets awaited key data releases and central bank announcements

AUD was once again a key focus in FX markets as gains from the Australian jobs report were trimmed by disappointing Chinese data

Looking ahead, highlights include SNB and BoE rate decisions, US CPI, weekly jobs, ECB’s Mersch and Weidmann

ASIA

Asia equity markets were lacklustre with a non-committal tone seen for most of the day after the cautious gains in the US and as...
Categories:
Asian equities traded with little direction as the positive momentum from Wall Street was offset by weakness in Apple suppliers

The greenback remained subdued to the benefit of its major counterparts while AUD/USD put in a mixed performance

Looking ahead, highlights include UK jobs report, US PPI, DoEs, ECB’s Praet, German Bund, UK 10yr and US 30yr Bond Auction

ASIA

Asia equity markets traded mixed as the momentum from Wall St. was counterbalanced by weakness in Apple suppliers...
Categories:
Asian bourses traded mostly higher once again with JPY weakness boosting Japanese exporters

In politics, UK Parliament passed the Brexit Bill and Norway’s ruling centre-right government won re-election

Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, potential comments from ECB’s Constancio and a US 10yr Auction

ASIA

The positive momentum from the somewhat reduced North Korean concerns continued to drive stocks higher as Asia bourses traded mostly positive, which also followed a strong...
Categories:

Asian equities were lifted after North Korea refrained from conducting a missile test over the weekend

The heightened risk appetite triggered outflows from safe-haven currencies JPY and CHF, in which USD/JPY rose firmly above 108.00

Looking ahead, highlights include potential comments from ECB’s Coeure

ASIA

Asia bourses began the week on the front-foot amid a relief rally after North Korea refrained from firing a missile over the weekend and instead launched a tirade of...
Categories:
Key Events: -

Monday:

Tuesday: UK Inflation Data (Aug)

Wednesday: UK Labour Market Report (Jul/Aug)

Thursday: Bank Of England Decision, SNB Decision, US CPI (Aug), Australian Labour Report (Aug), UK Retail Sales (Aug)

Friday:

Early sentiment is likely to be dictated by weekend events centring on North Korea. Saturday 9th September marks a national...
Categories:
Asian equities saw little in the way of firm direction as the region digested Chinese trade and Japanese GDP

USD woes persisted overnight as Asia-Pac currencies took a swipe at the greenback which saw AUD/USD break above 0.8100

Looking ahead, highlights include UK industrial and manufacturing output, Canadian jobs report and Fed’s Harker

ASIA

Asia equity markets traded mixed following similar indecisiveness in US and as the region digested a slew of economic releases including Japanese...
Categories:
The European Central Bank left its monetary policy settings unchanged as expected. The main refinancing rate stands at 0.00%, while the deposit and marginal lending facility rates stand at -0.40% and 0.25% respectively. The pace of QE was confirmed at EUR 60bln per month and is scheduled to run until December “or beyond, if necessary.”

The accompanying statement was a carbon copy of that issued in July’s (today’s...
Asian equities traded with little in the way of firm direction despite the positive Wall St. close after congress agreed to raise the debt ceiling

AUD/USD was once again a key focus for markets as initial gains were trimmed by disappointing data

Looking ahead, highlights include Riksbank & ECB rate decisions, US weekly jobs and DoEs

ASIA

Asia stock markets were mixed as the region somewhat failed to maintain the positive momentum from Wall St. where stocks gained after US President...
Categories:

  • All rates and the current pace of asset purchases are expected to be left unchanged
  • Staff will update macroeconomic projections; impact of EUR likely to weigh on inflation outlook
  • Key focus for press conference will be on recent EUR strength and possible QE exit
  • Click
The BoC defied the bulk of economists today, as it hiked its benchmark overnight rate by 25bps to 1.00%, the second consecutive meeting where the BoC has delivered such a move. Only 6 of the 33 surveyed in the latest Reuters Poll expected the BoC to tighten policy today while interest rate markets were pricing a 45% chance of such a move.

In terms of the hike, the BoC was of the view that “today’s removal of some of the considerable monetary policy stimulus in place is warranted. Future monetary policy...
Categories:
Asian equities traded with little in the way of firm direction despite the positive Wall St. close after congress agreed to raise the debt ceiling

AUD/USD was once again a key focus for markets as initial gains were trimmed by disappointing data

Looking ahead, highlights include Riksbank & ECB rate decisions, US weekly jobs and DoEs

ASIA

Asia stock markets were mixed as the region somewhat failed to maintain the positive momentum from Wall St. where stocks gained after US President...
Categories:
Due On Wednesday 6th September 2017 At 15:00 BST/09:00CDT

  • The majority expects the BoC to leave its overnight rate unchanged at 0.75%. Only 6 of 33 surveyed expect the BoC to hike this time out, while the OIS curve prices in a 45% chance of a hike.
  • A strong Q2 GDP release and the ensuing solid handover to Q3 has put a hike on the table at the upcoming decision.
  • Many are still cautious...
Categories:
Asian equities traded with little in the way of firm direction amid upbeat Chinese data and lingering geopolitical concerns

RBA kept the Cash Rate Target unchanged as expected and noted slow income growth

Looking ahead, highlights include Eurozone and UK service PMIs, US factory orders, Fed’s Brainard, Kashkari and Kaplan

ASIA

Asia equity markets traded with a mixed tone as the region mulled over encouraging Chinese PMI data and the lingering North Korea concerns. ASX 200 (-0.1%) and...
Categories:
Asia begins cautious as oil surges and geopolitical concerns heighten following attacks on Saudi refineries, while… https://t.co/0pwRyT8UWv